Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RIOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 4.754410 5.410997 6.133892 6.990247 7.978836 9.086382 10.424199
2025-04-20 3.949378 4.822801 5.860757 7.190568 8.856769 10.885402 13.557621
2025-04-27 3.439762 4.422892 5.658847 7.337620 9.575136 12.477972 16.566941
2025-05-04 3.125301 4.191870 5.596203 7.598472 10.408903 14.256117 19.995056
2025-05-11 2.736503 3.799942 5.254597 7.413929 10.579068 15.112733 22.214179
2025-05-18 2.451766 3.510820 5.009444 7.315769 10.830979 16.077400 24.670728
2025-05-25 2.221916 3.270964 4.801589 7.235659 11.080357 17.039674 27.213254
2025-06-01 2.016922 3.044415 4.585800 7.111341 11.233168 17.848704 29.585096
2025-06-08 1.834483 2.833104 4.369785 6.957891 11.311693 18.530001 31.805216
2025-06-15 1.770562 2.799495 4.424925 7.241731 12.132089 20.520152 36.543218
2025-06-22 1.670232 2.697240 4.358397 7.312344 12.589859 21.927206 40.396486
2025-06-29 1.559209 2.567141 4.233171 7.267083 12.833194 22.969525 43.684206
2025-07-06 1.450423 2.433506 4.093247 7.187058 13.013371 23.930997 46.978809
2025-07-13 1.399962 2.395735 4.114712 7.398758 13.756905 26.038772 52.883564
2025-07-20 1.344350 2.343784 4.105673 7.551097 14.399720 28.019070 58.799049
2025-07-27 1.309888 2.326496 4.156659 7.820339 15.298732 30.614555 66.427324
2025-08-03 1.215762 2.192257 3.980598 7.629919 15.243591 31.220399 69.650914
2025-08-10 1.141548 2.089543 3.855485 7.528636 15.361238 32.203483 73.888023
2025-08-17 1.075920 1.998210 3.744840 7.445978 15.508273 33.263814 78.460198
2025-08-24 1.010408 1.902337 3.617925 7.317712 15.541601 34.069794 82.516499
2025-08-31 0.946854 1.805845 3.482572 7.159398 15.491151 34.675159 86.147151
2025-09-07 0.935386 1.812044 3.554039 7.452243 16.495516 37.879705 97.104343
2025-09-14 0.902129 1.771679 3.526792 7.525101 16.995018 39.923207 105.245643